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The claim: “"Still, gas prices remain up by more than 30% since the war with Iran started on February 28, and around 40% since the beginning of the year." — Elizabeth Robinson, NBC News, "Morning Rundown," Nov. 10, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: EIA's weekly series puts regular gasoline at $2.937 on Feb. 23, the last reading before the war began Feb. 28, and $2.796 on Jan. 5, the first reading of 2026. Against AAA's Nov. 10 national average of $3.98, that is a rise of about 36% since the war began and about 42% since January; EIA's own latest reading, $4.153 on Nov. 2, shows even larger gains of about 41% and 49%. Either way, NBC's "more than 30%" and "around 40%" are consistent with the government record.

What would change our rating: An EIA weekly reading that falls below about $3.82 a gallon (30% above the pre-war $2.937) would make the "more than 30%" figure outdated, and a revision to EIA's January or February readings would change the comparison.

The claim: “"The justices' ruling stays a preliminary injunction issued last month by a federal district judge in El Paso, who had temporarily halted border wall construction in the region designated by U.S. Customs and Border Protection as the Big Bend Sector while litigation proceeds. Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson indicated she would have denied the stay request but did not file a written dissent." — Louis Casiano, Fox News, Nov. 9, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The Nov. 9 per curiam order grants the government's stay of the preliminary injunction that the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas entered on Oct. 2, 2026, which had blocked the Homeland Security secretary's waivers and halted all construction in the Big Bend Sector. It notes only that "Justice Jackson would deny the application for stay," with no written dissent. The stay is temporary while the case continues, though the court said the government is "exceedingly likely" to win its argument that the district court lacked jurisdiction.

What would change our rating: A later Supreme Court or district court order lifting the stay, or a docket record showing the injunction came from a different court or date, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"Tuesday is the deadline for voters who cast provisional ballots because they did not have proper identification to provide the needed documentation to election officials." and "County election officials have until Friday to vet and count all provisional ballots and certify their county-level results." — Annie Grayer and Fredreka Schouten, CNN, Nov. 10, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: Miss. Code § 23-15-573 says an affidavit ballot cast without acceptable photo ID is not rejected for that reason if the voter returns to the circuit clerk within five business days after the election; counting from the Nov. 3 election, the fifth business day is Tuesday, Nov. 10. § 23-15-603 gives county election commissioners ten days after a general election to send their certified statement to the secretary of state, which lands on Friday, Nov. 13. CNN's separate Dec. 3 state certification date was not checked against this record.

What would change our rating: An amendment to § 23-15-573 or § 23-15-603, a court order extending the cure or certification window, or a Secretary of State notice setting different 2026 dates would move this verdict.

The claim: “"100 percent election fraud" — caption on an X post shared Nov. 4, 2026, alongside a news-style graphic showing Rep. Ilhan Omar winning Minnesota's 5th District with 99 percent of the vote, as documented by AFP Fact Check”

Why we rated it this way: The Minnesota Secretary of State's results file for the Nov. 3 election shows Omar with 262,702 of 343,507 votes in the 5th District, or 76.48 percent, against 16.23 percent for Republican John Nagel and 7.02 percent for independent DeVelle L. Jackson, so the 99 percent figure in the graphic is not in the official count. AFP reports the graphic carries an AI watermark, and the real result is a lopsided but ordinary margin of about 60 points, in line with Omar's past wins. Nothing in the state's count supports the post's fraud claim, which rests entirely on a number the record doesn't contain.

What would change our rating: A certified canvass from the Minnesota State Canvassing Board showing a result near 99 percent, or a court or election-official finding of fraud in the 5th District count, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"Current federal funding levels run out on Dec. 11, and without another deal in place, Congress risks plunging the government into another shutdown." — Elizabeth Elkind and Alex Miller, Fox News Digital, Nov. 9, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: Section 106 of Public Law 119-103, signed Sept. 2, 2026, makes the stopgap funding available until whichever comes first: enactment of the relevant full-year bill or Dec. 11, 2026. Congress.gov's summary says the law funds most programs at fiscal 2026 levels, which matches Fox's description of "current federal funding levels." Whether a lapse actually leads to a shutdown depends on what Congress passes in the next month, which the law itself can't show.

What would change our rating: Enactment of a new continuing resolution or full-year appropriations bills that extend funding past Dec. 11, or a published correction to the law's expiration date, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"The new record — 159 women from both parties — is seven more women than currently serve in the House and Senate, according to data from the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University and CNN election projections." — Aleena Fayaz, Renée Rigdon and Amy O'Kruk, CNN, Nov. 9, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: CAWP's tally, last updated Nov. 7, says at least 159 women will serve in the 120th Congress, counting 141 winners, two undecided races with women on both sides and 16 Senate holdovers, against 152 serving now, the previous record. CAWP also backs CNN's other details: at least 136 women in the House, a new record, while the Senate drops from 27 women to at least 23. CNN rounds the share to 30 percent where CAWP says at least 29.7 percent, and 15 races with women in them were still uncalled, so the final number could rise.

What would change our rating: A CAWP update or certified results showing fewer than 159 women elected, or a revised count of women currently serving other than 152, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"Daniel Sullivan is leading substantially in the Alaska Senatorial Race. When you add Daniel (3,600, 1.68%) into Dan, and Gerald Heikes (4,846, 2.27%), Senator Dan Sullivan is up by thousands of Votes. ... The Alaska Race is OVER. Dan Sullivan WON, BY A LOT!" — President Donald J. Trump, Truth Social, Nov. 7, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: Alaska's official results page still lists the November 3 general election as unofficial and says ranked-choice results "will not be available until November 18, 2026 once all eligible ballots are reviewed and counted." That record contradicts a declaration that the race is over and that Sen. Dan Sullivan won by a lot. The division's posted summary is first-choice results only. Outlets reporting those unofficial first-choice figures on Saturday, including the New York Post and Mediaite, showed Democrat Mary Peltola still ahead — Mediaite put the count at 48.17 percent to 47.88 percent, and the Post said Sullivan trailed by fewer than 700 votes. Adding first-choice votes for Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. and Gerald Heikes to Sen. Sullivan is not how Alaska's ranked-choice system works; those ballots transfer according to each voter's next ranking.

What would change our rating: Completed ranked-choice tabulation from the Alaska Division of Elections awarding the seat to Sen. Sullivan, or unofficial first-choice totals showing him ahead by thousands of votes without adding other candidates' ballots, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"Within the next two years, NASA will launch the first-ever nuclear-powered spacecraft to Mars," Trump said. — Fox News, Michael Sinkewicz, Nov. 6, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: Fox accurately quotes remarks Trump delivered November 6 at Kennedy Space Center, and NASA's Space Reactor-1 Freedom page matches the two-year timeline: a fission-powered spacecraft demonstrating nuclear electric propulsion, targeting launch in late 2028 and a Mars flyby to deliver the SkyFall helicopters. NASA's own wording is more precise than "first-ever nuclear-powered." The agency calls SR-1 "humanity's first fission-powered interplanetary spacecraft." NASA's fact sheet on the Multi-Mission Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator describes that system as a "space nuclear power system" and says an MMRTG powered Curiosity after its November 2011 launch and also powers Perseverance. Those earlier Mars missions used nuclear radioisotope power, not a fission reactor.

What would change our rating: NASA documentation that no prior spacecraft sent to Mars used any form of nuclear power, or Fox specifying “first fission-powered” to match NASA’s wording, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"CNN closely examined county-level votes in seven states where Democrats flipped a Senate seat that had been held by a Republican — Texas, North Carolina, South Carolina, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, Maine and New Hampshire" — CNN, Matt Stiles, Brett Taylor, Curt Merrill, Koko Nakajima, Annette Choi and Renée Rigdon, Nov. 8, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The same CNN story correctly says Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats. The list that follows names eight states and includes New Hampshire. NBC News, using Associated Press data, reports that Democrat Chris Pappas won New Hampshire's Senate race "to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen," a hold rather than a flip of a Republican-held seat. The seven seats that changed parties, as compiled from called results, are Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, and Texas.

What would change our rating: Official results showing the New Hampshire Senate seat had been held by a Republican immediately before the 2026 election, or a corrected CNN list of the seven flip states that matches the called results, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"President Donald Trump has turned to MAGA favorite Stephen Miller to lead the White House" / Trump named Miller chief of staff replacing Susie Wiles — NBC News, Jonathan Allen and Rebecca Shabad, Nov. 6, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The White House’s Nov. 6 release announces Miller’s appointment as the 33rd White House chief of staff, “succeeding Susie Wiles after her highly successful tenure,” which matches NBC’s report that Trump named Miller to replace Wiles. NBC further notes Trump’s Truth Social announcement and Wiles’ resignation timing; the official release is the controlling appointment record.

What would change our rating: A White House correction withdrawing the Nov. 6 appointment release, or a subsequent official order naming someone else as chief of staff effective instead of Miller, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"DOGE's efforts included deferred resignations and buyouts of employees at federal agencies and contributed to a significant downsizing of the federal workforce, which contracted by about 250,000 employees during 2025, according to the Government Accountability Office (GAO)." — Fox News Digital, Hannah Brennan, Nov. 7, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: GAO-26-108583 does report that the civilian workforce across 22 CFO Act agencies that provided data declined by nearly 256,000 employees—close to Fox’s “about 250,000.” But GAO’s comparison runs from December 2024 to January 2026, not calendar year 2025 alone, and covers only the 22 reporting major agencies (SBA and USAID did not provide data). Fox’s “during 2025” framing omits that window and scope.

What would change our rating: A GAO table showing a ~250,000 net decline strictly within calendar 2025 for the full federal civilian workforce, or Fox clarifying the Dec. 2024–Jan. 2026 / 22-agency frame, would move this toward Matches record.

The claim: “"when voters were asked about building data centers in their communities, they were overwhelmingly opposed by a roughly 3-to-1 margin, according to CNN’s Voter Poll." — CNN, Patrick Svitek, Nov. 7, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: Early CNN Voter Poll results reported from the SSRS survey show 76% of voters rejecting data centers in their local community—about a 3.2-to-1 opposition ratio, which matches CNN’s “roughly 3-to-1” description. The same poll package CNN cites for the midterms (Oct. 19–Nov. 3, ~80,000 respondents) is the source of that community-opposition figure.

What would change our rating: A final CNN/SSRS Voter Poll release putting local data-center opposition well below ~75% (far from a 3-to-1 split), or showing CNN meant a different question, would move this verdict.

The claim: “"OVER TWENTY THOUSAND FRAUDULENT BALLOTS UNCOVERED IN FBI RAID OF HOUSTON STORAGE LOCKER WAREHOUSE ALL FOR DEMOCRATS." — viral X/Facebook posts attributed to "Jonathan Gregory" / TrumpNews.Baby account, Nov. 3, 2026 (documented by AFP Fact Check; shared thousands of times)”

Why we rated it this way: FBI Houston told both AFP and KHOU that the raid claim is false and that no election-related operation took place. AFP also found the post's images were unrelated: ballots from a San Francisco elections photo, an "FBI Atlanta" vehicle from a Georgia Recorder photo of a Fulton County raid, and a Houston storage exterior that does not prove a ballot seizure.

What would change our rating: An official FBI Houston or DOJ record confirming an Election Day storage-locker raid that seized thousands of fraudulent Democratic ballots in Houston would move this toward Matches record.

The claim: “"Kansas, Alaska, Arkansas, South Dakota and West Virginia each passed noncitizen voting bans with more than 60% support" — Fox News Digital dek/lede, Elaine Mallon, Nov. 5, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: AP-fed NBC tallies show yes (or "for") shares of 69.6% in Alaska, 69.1% in Arkansas, 63.6% in Kansas, 61.5% in South Dakota, and 79.6% in West Virginia — each above 60%. Ballotpedia News also reported all five of those citizenship measures approved on Nov. 3, with Arizona's broader Proposition 144 defeated, matching Fox's five-state list.

What would change our rating: Final certified state canvass numbers putting any of the five below 60% yes, or showing one of the five failed, would move this to Contradicted or Missing context.

The claim: “"In an ardent social media video Thursday, Hegseth vowed, 'We Stand, We Fight'" — CNN, Stephen Collinson, Nov. 6, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The official @SecWar account posted the video on Nov. 5 with the caption “At the War Department: We Stand. We Fight. We Defend the Republic,” which matches CNN’s quoted vow. The same clip circulated with the five-word caption “Stand. Fight. Defend the Republic” from White House and Pentagon aides the same day.

What would change our rating: Evidence that CNN was describing a different video, or that the @SecWar post was edited after publication to add those lines, would move this to Missing context or Contradicted.

The claim: ““Democrats are already trying to steal the election in New York today. What are the odds the ballot machines in Westchester County aren’t working? Democrats only know how to cheat.” — Laura Loomer, X post, Nov. 3, 2026, viewed 184,600 times in a day (per NewsGuard)”

Why we rated it this way: The scanners really did fail countywide, but the Board of Elections said the cause was an issue with the paper ballots, and that voters' ballots would go into secured, monitored orange emergency bags and be counted under state procedures. AP reports there was no sign the outage was engineered to hurt either party, and the Republican congressman on the ballot, Mike Lawler, said there were “no shenanigans.” No record shown in the post ties the malfunction to anyone trying to steal the election.

What would change our rating: An official finding, from the Board of Elections, the state, or a court, that someone deliberately caused the outage or that bagged ballots were lost or altered would move this toward Matches record; a final report confirming a vendor or ballot-stock fault with every bagged ballot counted would move it to Contradicted.

The claim: ““The Senate map, in particular, was at one point favorable for Republicans and viewed as an uphill battle for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and Democrats to put a dent in the GOP’s thin, 53-seat majority.” — Fox News Digital, Alex Miller and Elizabeth Elkind, Nov. 5, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The Senate's party-division table lists 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats and 2 independents for both sessions of the 119th Congress, so Republicans held exactly 53 seats going into Election Day. Both independents caucus with Democrats, which makes the GOP's edge 53 to 47, a six-seat margin that fits Fox's word “thin.”

What would change our rating: A Senate record showing a different seat count for Republicans at any point in the 2nd session before the election, such as a vacancy or party switch, would move this to Missing context.

The claim: ““Alaska allows absentee ballots postmarked by Election Day to arrive within 10 days after the election if mailed from within the US, or 15 days if mailed from overseas.” — CNN, Jeremy Herb and Hanna Park, midterm live coverage, Nov. 5, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: AS 15.20.081(e) says a mailed absentee ballot can't be counted unless it arrives by close of business on the 10th day after the election, and if postmarked it must be postmarked on or before Election Day. Subsection (h) gives ballots mailed from outside the United States, or from overseas voters, until the 15th day after a general election. That matches CNN's description, which helps explain why the Sullivan-Peltola race may stay uncalled for days.

What would change our rating: An amendment to AS 15.20.081 that took effect before the 2026 general election, or a court order changing the receipt deadlines for this election, would move this to Contradicted or Missing context.

The claim: ““We’ve had the greatest two years in the history of the presidency, in terms of the economy, in terms of all the things we have done.” — President Donald Trump, Fox News phone interview on election night, Nov. 3-4, 2026, as quoted by The Daily Beast”

Why we rated it this way: The Bureau of Economic Analysis puts real GDP growth for 2025, Trump's first full year back in office, at 2.3 percent, below 2024 (3.0 percent), 2023 (2.9 percent) and 2021 (6.3 percent), and far below years like 1950 (8.7 percent) and 1984 (7.2 percent). Quarterly growth in 2026 has run at annual rates of 2.5, 2.2 and 3.4 percent, which is solid but not a record. On the most common yardstick for the economy, the record does not support 'greatest in history,' though the 'all the things we have done' part is a matter of opinion.

What would change our rating: A different economic measure on which 2025-2026 actually ranks first in the historical record, or large upward BEA revisions to 2025 and 2026 growth, would move this toward missing context.

The claim: ““Democrats’ sweeping gains extended beyond Texas, with Senate upsets in Kansas and South Carolina, two states Trump carried by double digits in 2024.” — Fox News, Amanda Macias, Nov. 4, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The FEC's official 2024 tally shows Trump won Kansas 758,802 to 544,853, about 57.2 to 41.0 percent, a 16-point margin, and South Carolina 1,483,747 to 1,028,452, about 58.2 to 40.4 percent, an 18-point margin. The same record shows Texas at 6,393,597 to 4,835,250, about 13.7 points, so the story's 'double digits' line about Texas also holds. The 2026 Senate wins themselves are still unofficial projections until the states certify.

What would change our rating: Different certified 2024 totals from the Kansas, South Carolina or Texas election offices, or a canvass that reverses the 2026 Senate results in Kansas or South Carolina, would change this.

The claim: ““Flipped seats: Democrats flipped seven Republican-held Senate seats, as they are projected to win the races in Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina and Texas.” — CNN, midterm election live coverage, Nov. 4, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The Senate's current roster lists Republicans in every one of those seats: Ernst (Iowa), Marshall (Kansas), Collins (Maine), Tillis (North Carolina), Husted (Ohio, special election), Graham (South Carolina) and Cornyn (Texas). The roster shows 53 Republicans and 47 senators who are Democrats or caucus with them, so seven flips gives Democrats 54, and with Alaska and Mississippi still uncalled Republicans sit at 44, exactly CNN's count. The wins are network projections, not certified results.

What would change our rating: A recount or certified canvass that reverses any of the seven projected races, or a projection retraction by CNN's Decision Desk, would change this.

The claim: ““The pool is now better and more beautiful than it’s ever been before, and we’re very proud of it. … We went through a lot with vandalism.” — President Donald Trump, remarks at the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, Nov. 2, 2026, as quoted by Axios”

Why we rated it this way: The U.S. Attorney's Office for D.C. told the court that Interior Department documents showed the June 2026 damage to the pool was “the result of flawed installation by the contractor” and a rush to finish before the America 250 events, “and not vandalism as initially represented,” and it moved to dismiss the felony vandalism case. Prosecutors also dropped the misdemeanor vandalism charges against three other people. Trump did show a photo of “8647” sprayed on the drained pool, so the record doesn't rule out every act of graffiti, but the main damage he has blamed on vandals is attributed by his own Justice Department to the installation.

What would change our rating: Interior Department, Park Police, or court records showing that vandals caused a substantial share of the pool's damage would move this toward Matches record.

The claim: ““Also up for grabs in this year’s elections — governorships in 36 of the 50 states.” — Fox News report by Paul Steinhauser, Nov. 3, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The National Governors Association says there are 39 gubernatorial elections on Nov. 3, 2026, and its race list breaks down to 36 states plus Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands and the U.S. Virgin Islands. That matches Fox's count of 36 of the 50 states, and Fox's companion explainer also names the three territories. The NGA adds that 22 of the 39 races have an incumbent who is term-limited or not on the general election ballot.

What would change our rating: A state election record showing a governor's race added or canceled for 2026, such as a special election, would move this toward Missing context.

The claim: ““Trump won Iowa by 13 points in 2024, and the state has not elected a Democratic senator since 2008.” — CNN analysis by Arlette Saenz and David Wright, Nov. 2, 2026”

Why we rated it this way: The Senate's Iowa roster shows Democrat Tom Harkin holding the Class 2 seat from 1985 until Jan. 3, 2015, so his final six-year term was the one he won in 2008. Republican Joni Ernst has held that seat since 2015, and Republican Chuck Grassley has held Iowa's other seat since 1981. No Democrat has started a Senate term from Iowa since Harkin's 2009 term, which matches CNN.

What would change our rating: A Senate record showing a Democrat elected to represent Iowa after 2008 would move this to Contradicted.